- Solutions
- Oil and Gas Exploration
Oil & Gas Exploration
Each trading day our models produce thousands of forward price-path simulations across three practical horizons:
Numin delivers institutional-grade, daily-updated probabilistic price forecasts for every major traded energy contract: Brent Crude, WTI, RBOB Gasoline, ULSD/Heating Oil, Henry Hub Natural Gas, TTF, JKM LNG, and all associated spreads and basis differentials.

Daily Forecast
Intraday to 5-day probabilistic direction, expected trading ranges, and high-confidence timing windows for short-term positioning and inventory management.

Weekly Forecast
–13 week forward curves with full P10/P50/P90 confidence bands, optimized for capital-budgeting cycles and near-term drilling schedules.

Monthly/Strategic Forecasts
3–36 month probabilistic price decks designed specifically as superior inputs for long-term field development planning and asset valuation.
Direct Application to Drilling-Site Yield and Field Valuation
The primary value for upstream operators and energy investors lies in translating these high-resolution price forecasts into forward economic yield and present-value estimates for wells, pads, and entire fields:
These forecasts enable operators to:
- More accurately estimate the future revenue potential of specific drilling sites and rank locations by forward profitability.
- Project the long-term value trajectory of producing fields and undeveloped leasehold using continuously refreshed price expectations.
- Make capital-allocation decisions that reflect the market’s most probable future path instead of backward-looking averages.

Dynamic Price Decks
Daily-updating probabilistic price curves that replace static NYMEX strips and consensus forecasts.

Forecast-Driven Cash Flows
Cash-flow distributions for wells, pads, and fields generated from current forecasted price paths.

Forward Economics & Valuation
Breakevens, EUR estimates, and NPV ranges modeled across multiple price scenarios.

Optimized Drilling Windows
Identification of the most attractive drilling or recompletion periods over the next 12–36 months.

Probability-Based Inventory Ranking
Ranking locations by projected economic yield using real forward-price probabilities instead of strip pricing.
Delivery Options
Delivery Options Built for Institutional Workflows
Flexible, high-speed delivery—from real-time APIs to scheduled reports—designed to integrate seamlessly into existing economic models and decision systems.
- Real-time REST/WebSocket API (JSON primary format)
- Daily pre-market PDF with key levels and inflection probabilities
- Weekly and monthly strategic reports containing full forward-curve distributions and scenario analysis
- Optional Excel add-in or Python client library for direct integration into economic modeling tools