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Oil & Gas Exploration

Each trading day our models produce thousands of forward price-path simulations across three practical horizons:

Numin delivers institutional-grade, daily-updated probabilistic price forecasts for every major traded energy contract: Brent Crude, WTI, RBOB Gasoline, ULSD/Heating Oil, Henry Hub Natural Gas, TTF, JKM LNG, and all associated spreads and basis differentials.

Daily Forecast

Intraday to 5-day probabilistic direction, expected trading ranges, and high-confidence timing windows for short-term positioning and inventory management.

Weekly Forecast

–13 week forward curves with full P10/P50/P90 confidence bands, optimized for capital-budgeting cycles and near-term drilling schedules.  

Monthly/Strategic Forecasts

3–36 month probabilistic price decks designed specifically as superior inputs for long-term field development planning and asset valuation.

Direct Application to Drilling-Site Yield and Field Valuation

The primary value for upstream operators and energy investors lies in translating these high-resolution price forecasts into forward economic yield and present-value estimates for wells, pads, and entire fields:

These forecasts enable operators to:

Dynamic Price Decks

Daily-updating probabilistic price curves that replace static NYMEX strips and consensus forecasts.

Forecast-Driven Cash Flows

Cash-flow distributions for wells, pads, and fields generated from current forecasted price paths.

Forward Economics & Valuation

Breakevens, EUR estimates, and NPV ranges modeled across multiple price scenarios.

Optimized Drilling Windows

Identification of the most attractive drilling or recompletion periods over the next 12–36 months.

Probability-Based Inventory Ranking

Ranking locations by projected economic yield using real forward-price probabilities instead of strip pricing.

Delivery Options

Delivery Options Built for Institutional Workflows

Flexible, high-speed delivery—from real-time APIs to scheduled reports—designed to integrate seamlessly into existing economic models and decision systems.

  •  Real-time REST/WebSocket API (JSON primary format)  
  • Daily pre-market PDF with key levels and inflection probabilities
  • Weekly and monthly strategic reports containing full forward-curve distributions and scenario analysis
  • Optional Excel add-in or Python client library for direct integration into economic modeling tools